Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000956 1.094253e-03 0.001233 0.001383 0.001539 0.001696 0.001866
2026-02-08 0.000752 9.516902e-04 0.001159 0.001388 0.001632 0.001882 0.002157
2026-02-15 0.000599 8.443587e-04 0.001107 0.001404 0.001726 0.002061 0.002434
2026-02-22 0.000483 7.626499e-04 0.001073 0.001430 0.001825 0.002241 0.002707
2026-03-01 0.000364 6.653522e-04 0.001011 0.001421 0.001879 0.002367 0.002919
2026-03-08 0.000254 5.631601e-04 0.000936 0.001387 0.001901 0.002455 0.003086
2026-03-15 0.000186 5.029422e-04 0.000903 0.001399 0.001969 0.002589 0.003300
2026-03-22 0.000121 4.366828e-04 0.000857 0.001390 0.002012 0.002692 0.003477
2026-03-29 0.000082 3.977219e-04 0.000841 0.001414 0.002088 0.002831 0.003692
2026-04-05 0.000041 3.443920e-04 0.000802 0.001406 0.002127 0.002925 0.003854
2026-04-12 0.000009 2.813816e-04 0.000744 0.001372 0.002132 0.002980 0.003971
2026-04-19 NaN 2.175304e-04 0.000678 0.001324 0.002117 0.003010 0.004059
2026-04-26 NaN 1.579468e-04 0.000621 0.001301 0.002149 0.003112 0.004251
2026-05-03 NaN 1.165327e-04 0.000586 0.001304 0.002213 0.003253 0.004488
2026-05-10 NaN 8.458059e-05 0.000560 0.001318 0.002290 0.003409 0.004742
2026-05-17 NaN 6.101868e-05 0.000544 0.001344 0.002380 0.003579 0.005013
2026-05-24 NaN 3.187130e-05 0.000504 0.001334 0.002425 0.003696 0.005222
2026-05-31 NaN 7.284245e-06 0.000451 0.001301 0.002439 0.003776 0.005388
2026-06-07 NaN 7.769770e-08 0.000430 0.001312 0.002506 0.003917 0.005621
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000397 0.001303 0.002548 0.004026 0.005817
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000387 0.001326 0.002628 0.004180 0.006064
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001319 0.002669 0.004285 0.006254
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001286 0.002674 0.004347 0.006392